Matchbook’s resident Boxing expert Ryan Cahill gives his best bet for Fury vs Whyte
An exciting all British Heavyweight Title fight takes centre stage at Wembley this Saturday between Tyson Fury (31-0-1, 21KO’s) and Dillian Whyte (28-2, 19KO’s).
The build-up to this has been quite mellow which is uncharacteristic for both given their penchant for a war of words with opponents in the past.
The final press conference was respectful with both men acknowledging the strengths that the other is bringing to the table with Fury even calling out oddsmakers for how they have this one priced up; “I see some of the odds and I laugh, they’re coming from people who don’t know boxing!”
Mind games or genuine thoughts from “The Gypsy King” I’ll let you make up your own mind on that!
To Fury’s apparent surprise he is currently trading as the red hot 1.24 favourite on the Matchbook Exchange, In my opinion, that is arguably a few ticks of value for the WBC Heavyweight Champion.
Whyte can be backed at 5.5 in what would be considered a sizable upset. From a betting standpoint, the method of victory props are more appealing than backing either straight up.
We have seen Fury’s style adapt in his previous two fights against Deontay Wilder opting for a front foot and aggressive style of fighting rather than the technical fleet-footed box and move style that he is renowned for.
Standing at 6’9” and weighing in excess of 270 lbs he is a stylistic nightmare for the vast majority of Heavyweights out there.
It is a sight in itself to see a man of his size and stature move like a middleweight.
Fury picks his shots very well and possesses a lethal jab.
Historically he is not a huge puncher for the weight but tends to break fighters down with accumulation, 5 of his last 8 wins inside the distance have come after the midway point in the fight.
Whyte comes into this having gained revenge against an ageing Alexander Povetkin last time out, a good win on paper of course but Povetkin is far from the fighter he once was.
For Whyte to have any hope here then “The Body Snatcher” will need to be exactly that and work the body of Fury early and often to potentially slow him down. Packing a powerful, trademark left hook, Whyte has finished 19 of his 28 wins inside the distance.
Where I think the value lies here is with Fury by KO, TKO or DQ, currently trading at 1.75.
In my opinion, Whyte is both a limited and vulnerable fighter. He suffered two vicious knockout defeats at the hands of Anthony Joshua and Alexander Povetkin while also having been on the canvas against Oscar Rivas and Joseph Parker does not bode well for Whyte here.
I would also have a big question mark over Whyte’s ability to do a hard 12 rounds, on multiple occasions Whyte has slowed considerably as the fight has progressed.
I believe Fury will elect to adopt a style similar to his last two fights with Deontay Wilder and use his size to wear down Whyte early on before being able to dispatch him in the mid to late rounds of the fight.
- Fury to win by KO, TKO or DQ (1.78)