I was impressed by Jubiloso at Newbury, but it cannot be stressed enough that the race she won was just a run-of-the-mill novice, and the runner-up, the only solid one against her there, has been well beaten in a handicap off 86 recently. She ought to be running in the Sandringham Handicap off a mark of 101, rather than this Group 1.
14:30 Albany Stakes
It’s been a mixed week for Wes ward, with Kimari just denied in the Queen Mary before the ground got really testing, but his other three runners have finished 15th, 16th and 20th. The ground may be coming back in favour of his runners now, but the promising Nayibeth is hung out in stall one here which looks the worst of the draw (those drawn on the outer stall, either low or high, tend to lose ground out of the stalls due to the absence of horses on one side, which can see them head towards daylight to either side rather than coming out straight.
I must admit that is less of a concern for one from this stable who tend to go forward as if on rails, but even if she is the best horse in this race, racing on her own on the far side is sure to be a disadvantage, and she should be laid to smallish stakes in the place market.
15:05 King Edward VII Stakes
Private Secretary may have man-of-the-moment Frankie Dettori on board, but his win in a handicap off 83 and a listed race at Goodwood last time is not good enough form to touch Derby third Japan, and a couple of others also have stronger claims. That said, with Dettori riding so well, and a few of these lacking scope, perhaps it’s best just to lay him in the win market, as there’s nothing worse that taking one on for a place and see them beaten all ends up but still falling into third.
Discretion is the better part of valour, after all.
15:40 Commonwealth Cup
Hello Youmzain wasn’t left with much to beat after Calyx cracked at Haydock last time, and he’s much too short in the win market for all he ran gun-barrel straight to the line when winning the Sandy Lane. Again, he could easily be best of the rest here, but I would be very surprised if the winner didn’t come from either Jash, my pick, or favourite Ten Sovereigns.
16:20 Coronation Stakes
The axe falls on the much-hyped Jubiloso here.
She is out of a half-sister to Frankel and everyone got very excited by her easy win in a novice at Newbury last time. I was also impressed, but it cannot be stressed enough that the race she won was just a run-of-the-mill novice, and the runner-up, the only solid one against her there, has been well beaten in a handicap off 86 recently. The handicapper gives her 101, which is probably lenient, and is why she ought to be running in the Sandringham Handicap, which she would be a hot favourite to win.
This is a different kettle of fish, and she has plenty to find against the winners of four (count ‘em) 1000 Guineas of various descriptions. Place lay is the way to go despite her potential.
- 14:30 Place lay Nayibeth @ 3.4 or shorter to win 5pts [max liability 12pts]
- 15:05 Lay Private Secretary @ 6.4 or shorter to win 5pts [max liability 27pts]
- 15:40 Place lay Hello Youmzain @ 2.4 or shorter to win 10pts [max liability 14pts]
- 16:20 Place Lay Jubiloso @ 2.10 or shorter to win 20pts [max liability 22pts]