Cheltenham Handicaps Special - Matchbook Insights

Producer Daniel Hussey summarises all the bets in our Cheltenham Handicaps Special as Tom Stanley was joined by Matt Tombs, Steve Jones, Dan Overall and Micheál Deasy…

What a fun one this was!

Our Annual Cheltenham Handicaps Special was back with a bang, with some big prices put up by all.

We went through all the handicaps, plus the non-Grade 1s (Hunters’ Chase aside!).

Best of luck if having a bet or two at the Festival!

"I saw a picture he put up pretending to be the Racing Post"@_tomstanley_ was ICY'd earlier 👀

Full 𝗖𝗵𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗲𝗻𝗵𝗮𝗺 𝗛𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗽𝘀 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 in your podcast feed shortly 🎧 pic.twitter.com/eGXZ2xFrI9

— Matchbook Betting Exchange (@TeamMatchbook) March 9, 2023

Tuesday – Ultima Handicap Chase

Every winner this century had run over at least 3m over fences, (9 had run over a marathon trip)

Tom – Lord Accord (if ground has ‘good’ in it)
Matt – Corach Rambler
Steve – Oscar Elite
Dan O – Lord Accord
Deasy – Corach Rambler, Cloudy Glen

Tuesday – Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

Horses that began in French national hunt races (inc AQPS) are 7/79 – 49pt (61%) profit

Steve – Bad
Dan O – Risk Belle
Deasy – Jazzy Matty (0.25 Win/0.75 Place)

Tuesday – National Hunt Chase

Horses that had run 8 or more times over fences are 6/36 – 21pt (58%) profit since the race was at level-weights

Tom – Gaillard Du Mesnil
Matt – Churchstonewarrior
Steve – Tenzing (w/p)
Dan O – Gaillard Du Mesnil
Deasy – Lay Gaillard Du Mesnil

Bet Now

Wednesday – Coral Cup

6 Cesarewitch winners have run at the Festival this century. Detroit City got closest to the winner when 19l 6th as 2.5 favourite for the Champion Hurdle

Tom – Au Fleuron / Historique Reconce
Matt – Langer Dan (producer Dan will be on him too!!)
Steve – HMS Seahorse
Dan O – San Salvador, An Epic Song (if soft)
Deasy – Beacon Edge

Wednesday – Cross Country

14 of the 18 winners, including 6 of the 7 at level-weights, have come from the front 3 in the market

Tom – Delta Work
Matt – Delta Work
Steve – Galvin

Wednesday – Grand Annual

Last year 7 British horses ran in handicaps having been dropped 10lb+ from mark they had when either (1) last running the previous season (20/21) or (2) first running in that current season (21/22) – Global Citizen (29.0) & Third Wind (26.0) won, Didero Vallis was third (67.0)

Tom – Andy Dufrsene
Matt – Sizing Pottsie (if really soft) & Rouge Vif (if sound surface)
Dan O – Andy Dufresne, Red Rookie
Deasy – Global Citizen, Dads Lad

Wednesday – Champion Bumper

The top 2 in the BHA ratings are 8/33 since they began in 2008 – 18pt (55%) profit

Tom – Chosen Witness if testing ground
Matt – Encanto Bruno
Steve – Fun Fun Fun
Dan O – Western Diego
Deasy – Western Diego (small win/place)

Cheltenham Handicaps Special is out NOW wherever you 👂 to your podcasts 🎧@_tomstanley_ is joined by @mdeasy85 @sjracingmedia @thespieler and @OverandClear to share all their handicap picks for the Festival 👍

🎥 https://t.co/taLwp9Ji9V https://t.co/7qUZQ1lImD

— Matchbook Betting Exchange (@TeamMatchbook) March 9, 2023

Thursday – Pertemps

The 10 runners from Cullentra House (Gordon Elliott’s) finished 2121512354 in the 6 renewals between 2016-2021

Tom – Bear Ghylls
Matt – Good Time Johnny
Steve – Bear Ghylls
Dan O – Shoot First
Deasy – Thanksforthehelp, Bear Ghylls (If soft/heavy)

Thursday – Plate

Venetia Williams is 3/26 this century – 72pt (277% profit)

Tom – Fusil Raffles / Frero Banbou / Fastorslow
Matt – Frero Banbou
Steve – Stolen Silver
Deasy – Fusil Raffles

Thursday – Mares Novice

Having won the first 5 renewals Willie Mullins’ horses in the subsequent 2 renewals have finished 6000358900, half going off 9.0 or shorter

Tom – You Wear It Well
Matt – Magical Zoe & Halka Du Tarbet
Steve – Magical Zoe (w/p)
Dan O – Lot of Joy
Deasy – Ahorsewithnoname, Princess Zoe

Thursday – Kim Muir

8 of the last 12 winners came from the front 3 in the SP market, going off 10.0 or shorter

Matt – Angels Dawn
Dan O – Dr Kananga
Deasy – Anightinlambourn, Rapper

Bet Now

Friday – County Hurdle

Runners from the Liffey Handicap Hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival are 4/43 in the last 15 renewals – 51pt (119%) profit

Tom – Pembroke, Path D’oroux
Matt – Ballyadam, Gin Coco
Steve – Fil Dor
Dan O – Sharjah
Deasy – Aucunrisque, Hunters Yarn (if he runs)

Friday – Mares Chase

No trend as new race

Matt – Jeremys Flame
Steve – Impervious

Friday – Martin Pipe

Horses that had won over the furthest they’d run over over hurdles (minimum 2m5f) are 6/52 – 39pt (74%) profit

Tom – Historique Reconce
Steve – Sa Fureur
Dan O – Three Card Brag (if he runs, seems unlikely), Iroko
Deasy – Blue Sari

Best Cheltenham Handicap Long-Shot

Tom – Frero Banbou (Plate)
Matt – Good Time Johnny (Pertemps)
Steve – Bear Ghylls (Pertemps)
Dan O – Iroko (Martin Pipe)
Deasy – Cloudy Glen (Ultima)

Best Cheltenham Handicap Place Lay

Tom – So Scottish (Plate)
Matt – Run For Oscar (Coral Cup)
Steve – Shoot First (Pertemps)
Dan O – Camprond (Coral Cup), Spanish Harlem (Martin Pipe)
Deasy – Stumptown (Kim Muir)

Best Cheltenham Handicap Bet

Tom – Frero Banbou (Plate)
Matt – Frero Banbou (Plate)
Steve – HMS Seahorse (Coral)
Dan O – Sharjah (County)
Deasy – Corach Rambler (Ultima)

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