Producer Daniel Hussey summarises all the bets in our Cheltenham Handicaps Special as Tom Stanley was joined by Matt Tombs, Steve Jones, Dan Overall and Micheál Deasy…
What a fun one this was!
Our Annual Cheltenham Handicaps Special was back with a bang, with some big prices put up by all.
We went through all the handicaps, plus the non-Grade 1s (Hunters’ Chase aside!).
Best of luck if having a bet or two at the Festival!
"I saw a picture he put up pretending to be the Racing Post"@_tomstanley_ was ICY'd earlier 👀
Full 𝗖𝗵𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗲𝗻𝗵𝗮𝗺 𝗛𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗽𝘀 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 in your podcast feed shortly 🎧 pic.twitter.com/eGXZ2xFrI9
— Matchbook Betting Exchange (@TeamMatchbook) March 9, 2023
Tuesday – Ultima Handicap Chase
Every winner this century had run over at least 3m over fences, (9 had run over a marathon trip)
- Tom – Lord Accord (if ground has ‘good’ in it)
- Matt – Corach Rambler
- Steve – Oscar Elite
- Dan O – Lord Accord
- Deasy – Corach Rambler, Cloudy Glen
Tuesday – Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Horses that began in French national hunt races (inc AQPS) are 7/79 – 49pt (61%) profit
- Steve – Bad
- Dan O – Risk Belle
- Deasy – Jazzy Matty (0.25 Win/0.75 Place)
Tuesday – National Hunt Chase
Horses that had run 8 or more times over fences are 6/36 – 21pt (58%) profit since the race was at level-weights
- Tom – Gaillard Du Mesnil
- Matt – Churchstonewarrior
- Steve – Tenzing (w/p)
- Dan O – Gaillard Du Mesnil
- Deasy – Lay Gaillard Du Mesnil
Bet Now
Wednesday – Coral Cup
6 Cesarewitch winners have run at the Festival this century. Detroit City got closest to the winner when 19l 6th as 2.5 favourite for the Champion Hurdle
- Tom – Au Fleuron / Historique Reconce
- Matt – Langer Dan (producer Dan will be on him too!!)
- Steve – HMS Seahorse
- Dan O – San Salvador, An Epic Song (if soft)
- Deasy – Beacon Edge
Wednesday – Cross Country
14 of the 18 winners, including 6 of the 7 at level-weights, have come from the front 3 in the market
- Tom – Delta Work
- Matt – Delta Work
- Steve – Galvin
Wednesday – Grand Annual
Last year 7 British horses ran in handicaps having been dropped 10lb+ from mark they had when either (1) last running the previous season (20/21) or (2) first running in that current season (21/22) – Global Citizen (29.0) & Third Wind (26.0) won, Didero Vallis was third (67.0)
- Tom – Andy Dufrsene
- Matt – Sizing Pottsie (if really soft) & Rouge Vif (if sound surface)
- Dan O – Andy Dufresne, Red Rookie
- Deasy – Global Citizen, Dads Lad
Wednesday – Champion Bumper
The top 2 in the BHA ratings are 8/33 since they began in 2008 – 18pt (55%) profit
- Tom – Chosen Witness if testing ground
- Matt – Encanto Bruno
- Steve – Fun Fun Fun
- Dan O – Western Diego
- Deasy – Western Diego (small win/place)
Cheltenham Handicaps Special is out NOW wherever you 👂 to your podcasts 🎧@_tomstanley_ is joined by @mdeasy85 @sjracingmedia @thespieler and @OverandClear to share all their handicap picks for the Festival 👍
🎥 https://t.co/taLwp9Ji9Vhttps://t.co/7qUZQ1lImD
— Matchbook Betting Exchange (@TeamMatchbook) March 9, 2023
Thursday – Pertemps
The 10 runners from Cullentra House (Gordon Elliott’s) finished 2121512354 in the 6 renewals between 2016-2021
- Tom – Bear Ghylls
- Matt – Good Time Johnny
- Steve – Bear Ghylls
- Dan O – Shoot First
- Deasy – Thanksforthehelp, Bear Ghylls (If soft/heavy)
Thursday – Plate
Venetia Williams is 3/26 this century – 72pt (277% profit)
- Tom – Fusil Raffles / Frero Banbou / Fastorslow
- Matt – Frero Banbou
- Steve – Stolen Silver
- Deasy – Fusil Raffles
Thursday – Mares Novice
Having won the first 5 renewals Willie Mullins’ horses in the subsequent 2 renewals have finished 6000358900, half going off 9.0 or shorter
- Tom – You Wear It Well
- Matt – Magical Zoe & Halka Du Tarbet
- Steve – Magical Zoe (w/p)
- Dan O – Lot of Joy
- Deasy – Ahorsewithnoname, Princess Zoe
Thursday – Kim Muir
8 of the last 12 winners came from the front 3 in the SP market, going off 10.0 or shorter
- Matt – Angels Dawn
- Dan O – Dr Kananga
- Deasy – Anightinlambourn, Rapper
Bet Now
Friday – County Hurdle
Runners from the Liffey Handicap Hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival are 4/43 in the last 15 renewals – 51pt (119%) profit
- Tom – Pembroke, Path D’oroux
- Matt – Ballyadam, Gin Coco
- Steve – Fil Dor
- Dan O – Sharjah
- Deasy – Aucunrisque, Hunters Yarn (if he runs)
Friday – Mares Chase
No trend as new race
- Matt – Jeremys Flame
- Steve – Impervious
Friday – Martin Pipe
Horses that had won over the furthest they’d run over over hurdles (minimum 2m5f) are 6/52 – 39pt (74%) profit
- Tom – Historique Reconce
- Steve – Sa Fureur
- Dan O – Three Card Brag (if he runs, seems unlikely), Iroko
- Deasy – Blue Sari
Best Cheltenham Handicap Long-Shot
- Tom – Frero Banbou (Plate)
- Matt – Good Time Johnny (Pertemps)
- Steve – Bear Ghylls (Pertemps)
- Dan O – Iroko (Martin Pipe)
- Deasy – Cloudy Glen (Ultima)
Best Cheltenham Handicap Place Lay
- Tom – So Scottish (Plate)
- Matt – Run For Oscar (Coral Cup)
- Steve – Shoot First (Pertemps)
- Dan O – Camprond (Coral Cup), Spanish Harlem (Martin Pipe)
- Deasy – Stumptown (Kim Muir)
Best Cheltenham Handicap Bet
- Tom – Frero Banbou (Plate)
- Matt – Frero Banbou (Plate)
- Steve – HMS Seahorse (Coral)
- Dan O – Sharjah (County)
- Deasy – Corach Rambler (Ultima)
