Cheltenham Preview Night 2024 - Matchbook Insights

All the Cheltenham Preview Night tips from Tom Stanley, Matt Tombs, Charlie Poste, Donn McClean, Steve Jones, Dan Overall and Micheál Deasy…

What a fun night we had.

Plenty of useful nuggets across our two-hour annual Matchbook Cheltenham Preview Night.

We’re running a competition for a £25 Cheltenham Free Bet; all you have to do is like and comment on our YouTube video.

Well worth your time to listen back to the podcast, but if you need a bet recap, check out the below.

Best of luck for the week!

*All prices listed below are correct as of Monday 26th February*

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Cheltenham Tuesday

Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

Trend – Grade 1 winning hurdlers are 10/35 this century – 17pt (49%) profit

Matt – Firefox 8.8
Donn – Tullyhill 8.4
Steve – Tullyhill 8.0
Charlie – Tullyhill 6.0
Dan – Ballyburn 2.48 | Mistergif 32.0 (win/place)
Deasy – Ballyburn 2.48

Arkle Chase

Trend – 11 of the last 14 renewals have been won by Willie Mullins (5), Nicky Henderson (4) & Henry de Bromhead (2)

Matt – Hunters Yarn 10.3
Donn – Marine Nationale 3.8
Steve – Quilixios 11.8
Charlie – Blood Destiny 15.0
Dan – Quilixios 11.8
Deasy – Il Etait Temps 6.6

Champion Hurdle

Trend – No point looking at trends when you have an all-time great horse!!

*Selections below were made before Constitution Hill’s bad scope*

Matt – Constitution Hill 1.35 (no bet)
Donn – No bet (State Man +9 lengths)
Steve – No bet
Charlie – Constitution Hill ( no bet )
Dan – Constitution Hill 1.35 (no bet)
Deasy – Constitution Hill, State Man – Straight Forecast

Mares Hurdle

Trend – Since the inaugural running every winner had run over at least 2m3f over hurdles and all bar one had won a hurdle over at least the Mares Hurdle trip (2m3f200y)

Matt – Ashroe Diamond 7.5
Donn – No bet
Steve – No bet
Charlie – Lossiemouth 1.7 (no bet)
Dan – Lossiemouth 1.7 (no bet)
Deasy – Ashroe Diamond 7.5

Any Other Tuesday Bets

Tom – Giovinco 21.0 (Ultima)
Matt – Salvador Ziggy 6.2 (NH Chase)
Donn – Flooring Porter 17.0 (NH Chase)
Steve – Trelawne 17.0 (Ultima)
Steve – Minella Cocooner 49.0 (NH Chase)
Charlie – Shan Blue 21.0 Ultima
Dan – Salvador Ziggy 6.2 (NH Chase)
Dan – Chianti Classico 9.0 (Ultima)
Dan – Ose Partir 34.0 (Fred Winter)
Deasy – Three Card Brag (NH Chase)

Best Tuesday Lays

Tom – LAY Constitution Hill 1.2 or shorter
Tom – LAY Marine Nationale 3.5 (Arkle)
Matt – LAY Lossiemouth 1.7
Charlie – LAY Marine Nationale 3.5
Deasy – LAY Lossiemouth 1.7

Best Tuesday Bets

Tom – Quilixios 11.8 (Arkle)
Matt – Firefox 8.8 (Supreme)
Donn – Tullyhill 8.4 (Supreme)
Steve – Quilixios 11.8 (Arkle)
Charlie – Tullyhill 6.0 ( Supreme)
Dan – Chianti Classico 9.0 (Ultima)
Deasy – Il Etait Temps 6.6 (Arkle)

Cheltenham Wednesday

Baring Bingham Novice Hurdle

Trend – Since 1997 Grade 1 winning hurdlers at 2m are 9/17 – 15pt (85%) profit but Grade 1 winning hurdlers at 2m4f+ are 3/26 – 71% loss

Matt – Handstands 15.0 (w/p)
Donn – Slade Steel 5.0
Steve – No bet
Charlie – Ballyburn 1.9
Dan – Slade Steel 5.0
Deasy – Ballyburn if he runs | Ile Atlantique 7.0

Brown Advisory Novices Chase

Trends – Horses that went chasing by the end of their second season racing are 6/36 this century – 62pt (171%) profit | Horses that went chasing in their fourth or later season racing are 2/73 this century – 91% loss

Matt – Broadway Boy 48.0 (w/pl)
Donn – Monty’s Star 7.6
Steve – Monty’s Star 8.0
Charlie – Grey Dawning 6.5
Dan – Broadway Boy 48.0 (w/pl)
Deasy – LAY Fact To File 1.9

Champion Chase

Trend – Arkle winners this century in the next season’s Champion Chase are 7/13 – 21pt (164%) profit

Matt – El Fabiolo 1.63 (no bet)
Donn – El Fabiolo 1.64
Steve – No bet
Charlie – Jonbon w/o fav 1.8
Dan – El Fabiolo 1.63 (no bet)
Deasy – El Fabiolo 1.63 (no bet but a banker for the multiples)

Any Other Wednesday Bets

Tom – Might I 20.0 (Coral Cup)
Tom – Frero Banbou 26.0 (Grand Annual)
Donn – Madara 11.0 (Grand Annual)
Steve – Mighty Tom 34.0 (Grand Annual)
Charlie – Doddiethegreat 13.0 (Coral Cup)
Charlie – Royal Infantry 34.0 (Bumper)
Dan – Calico 17.0 (Grand Annual)
Dan – You Oughta Know 10.0 (Bumper)
Deasy – Triple Trade 34.0 (Grand Annual)

Best Wednesday Lays

Tom/Matt/Charlie/Dan/Deasy – LAY Fact To File 1.9 (Brown Advisory)

Best Wednesday Bets

Tom – Ballyburn 4.72 (Baring Bingham)
Matt – Handstands 15.0 (Baring Bingham)
Donn – Monty’s Star 7.6 (Brown Advisory)
Steve – Mighty Tom 34.0 (Grand Annual)
Charlie – Grey Dawning 6.5 ( Brown Advisory)
Dan – You Oughta Know 10.0 (Bumper)
Deasy – LAY Fact To File 1.9 (Brown Advisory)

Watch Our Cheltenham Preview Night:

Cheltenham Thursday

Turners Novices’ Chase

Trend – Runners from the previous year’s Baring Bingham are 6/10 – 36pt (362%) profit, having finished 06101P in the Baring Bingham

Tom – Facile Vega 6.0
Matt – Grey Dawning 4.33 | saver on Found A Fifty 140.0
Donn – Grey Dawning 5.6
Steve – Giovinco 35.0
Charlie – Ginny’s Destiny 3.5
Dan – Djelo 32.0 (w/pl)
Deasy – Grey Dawning 4.33

Ryanair Chase

Trend – In the Grade 1 renewals the front 2 in the SP market are 12/35 – 16pt (45%) profit

Matt – Banbridge 4.33
Donn – Banbridge 4.33 on goodish ground | Stage Star 6.2 on soft
Steve – Banbridge 4.33
Charlie – Banbridge 4.33
Dan – Banbridge 4.33
Deasy – Fugitif 22.0 (win/place)

Stayers’ Hurdle

Trend – Only 1 of the last 4 winners had won a race that season

Matt – Home By The Lee 23.0 (w/p)
Donn – Teahupoo 4.3
Steve – Irish Point 5.8
Charlie – Irish Point 5.8
Dan – Irish Point 5.8
Deasy – Buddy One 90.0

Any Other Thursday Bets

Tom – Indigo Breeze 60.0 (Kim Muir)
Donn – Madara 13.0 (Plate)
Steve – Golden Ace 17.2 (Mares’ Novice)
Dan – Sa Fureur 17.0 (Plate)
Dan – Gabbys Cross 21.0 (Pertemps)
Deasy – Farouk D’alene (Pertemps)
Deasy – Rapper (Kim Muir)

Best Thursday Lays

Matt – LAY Dysart Enos 5.6 (win/place markets)

Best Thursday Bets

Tom – Brighterdaysahead 3.5 (Mares Novice)
Matt – Banbridge 4.33 (Ryanair)
Donn – Teahupoo 4.3 (Stayers)
Steve – Irish Point 5.8 (Stayers)
Charlie – Banbridge 4.33 ( Ryanair )
Dan – Sa Fureur 17.0 (Plate)
Deasy – Fugitif 22.0 (Win/Place)

Cheltenham Friday

Triumph Hurdle

Trend – Horses unbeaten over hurdles that had won a graded hurdle since the turn of the year are 8/24 since 2005 – 28pt (117%) profit

Matt – Sir Gino 1.84 (no bet)
Donn – Majborough 9.4
Steve – Majborough 9.6
Charlie – Storm Heart 11.0
Dan – Sir Gino 1.84 (no bet)
Deasy – Sir Gino 1.84

Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

Trend – In the last 10 renewals 9 of the 10 winners have gone off 12.0 or bigger and all 17 runners that went off 5.5 or shorter have been beaten

Matt – Shortlist = Croke Park 28.0, Johnnywho 17.0 & Now Is The Hour 13.0
Donn – Captain Teague 11.5
Steve – No bet
Charlie – Croke Park 26.0
Dan – No bet
Deasy – Stellar Story 38.0

Boodles Gold Cup

Trend – The shortest priced debutant in the Gold Cup this century are 11/26 – 29pt (111%) profit

Matt – Gerri Colombe 14.2 (w/p)
Donn – Fastorslow 9.4
Steve – Bravemansgame 24.0 (w/p) | Hewick 22.0 (w/p)
Charlie – Gerri Colombe 13.0
Dan – Galopin Des Champs 2.26
Deasy – Corach Rambler 26.0 (10% Win / 90% Place) | Gentlemansgame 25.0 (10% Win / 90% Place)

Any Other Friday Bets

Tom – Quai De Bourbon 10.0 (Martin Pipe)
Donn – Answer To Kayf 16.0 (Martin Pipe)
Charlie – Sine Nomine 13.0 (Hunters)
Dan – Waterford Whispers 17.0 (Martin Pipe)
Deasy – Bialystok 17.0 (County)
Deasy – Quai De Bourbon 10.0 (Martin Pipe)
Deasy – Encanto Bruno 15.0 (Martin Pipe)

Best Friday Lays

Tom – See Matt Tombs
Matt – LAY Front of Albert Bartlett market
Donn – LAY Sir Gino 1.84 (Triumph)
Steve – LAY Sir Gino 1.84 (Triumph)

Best Friday Bets

Tom – Sir Gino 1.84 (Triumph)
Matt – Gerri Colombe 14.2 (Gold Cup)
Donn – Majborough 9.6 (Triumph)
Steve – Majborough 9.6 (Triumph)
Charlie – Gerri Colombe 13.0 ( Gold Cup )
Dan – Waterford Whispers 17.0 (Martin Pipe)
Deasy – Corach Rambler 26.0 (Gold Cup)

Cheltenham Best Long-Shots / Lays / Bets

Matchbook Zero Best Long-Shot

Tom – Frero Banbou 26.0 (Grand Annual)
Matt – Broadway Boy 48.0 (Broadway)
Donn – Answer To Kayf 16.0 (Martin Pipe)
Steve – Mighty Tom 34.0 (Grand Annual)
Charlie – Shan Blue 26.0 ( Ultima )
Dan – Gabbys Cross 21.0 (Pertemps)
Deasy – Fugitif 22.0 (Ryanair)

Best Lays

Tom – LAY Marine Nationale 3.5 (Arkle)
Matt – LAY Lossiemouth 1.7 (Mares Hurdle)
Donn – LAY Sir Gino 1.84 (Triumph)
Steve – LAY Sir Gino 1.84 (Triumph)
Charlie – LAY Fact to File 1.8 (Brown Advisory)
Dan – LAY Fact To File 1.8 (Brown Advisory)
Deasy – LAY Fact to File 1.8 (Brown Advisory)

Best Bets

Tom – Brighterdaysahead 3.5 (Mares Novice)
Matt – Firefox 8.8 (Supreme)
Donn – Majborough 9.6 (Triumph)
Steve – Irish Point 5.8 (Stayers)
Charlie – Banbridge 4.33 ( Ryanair )
Dan – Waterford Whispers 17.0 (Martin Pipe)
Deasy – Il Etait Temps 6.6 (Arkle)

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